AAM September 2022 Newsletter Email

September 2022 AAM Newsletter

Hello and thank you for reading my e-newsletter.

I hope you find the information useful.  If you enjoy the newsletter please forward to a friend.   Please also let me know what you like to see so that I may continue to provide relevant content.

If you are a client of mine, thank you for your continued business and please update me on any changes in your situation do that I can make the appropriate changes to your financial plan and investments.

If you are not a client please consider giving me a call or emailing me if you would like to begin a plan to get you to your financial goals.  I consider myself different from many of the advisors out there for the following reasons:
1) You will not be pressured to purchase any products because I am a fee-only advisor and a NAPFA® Member (no commission sales)
2) You will have a comprehensive financial plan completed by a Certified Financial Planner ™ Practitioner or CFP® – I have committed to financial planning and continuing education.
3) You will have a reasonable fee for the services performed.  I charge less than the typical large financial planning firm by being a small shop and keeping my business expenses low.

Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®

For more insight on these groups and myself please click on the following links
www.napfa.org
www.cfp.net
www.fpanet.org  
www.aamllc.com

Please see below for financial articles and tips

Markets

Stocks fell in August as Fed Chair Powell took a hawkish stance on interest rates and indicated that the Fed will continue to raise rates aggressively until inflation is under control.

Index performance                                      Aug 2022____    YTD 2022_

  • The S&P index                                -4.24%                -17.02%
  • Dow Jones industrial 30               -4.06%                -13.29%
  • The NASDAQ Index                        -4.64%                -24.47%
  • The Russell 2000 Small cap          -2.18%               -17.87%
  • EAFE International Index              -6.12%                -21.58%
  • The US Dollar                                 +2.62%                +13.75%            
  • Oil                                                    -10.21%              +17.74%
  • Gold                                                 -3.20%                -5.99%
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield                 3.14%                  1.50% on 12/31/2021
  • 30-Year Treasury Yield                 3.27%                  1.91% on 12/31/2021                     

Volatility remained moderately high in August for the S&P 500 index.  The index began at 4130, rose to a high of 4305 then fell to the low of 3955 for a difference of 350 points or about 8.13% from high to low.

After a very positive July and first half of August concerns regarding inflation and interest rates took center stage once again with the Jackson Hole economic forum and Fed Chair Powell’s speech.  Stocks went immediately lower as he took an aggressive stance on raising rates to fight inflation and the negative sentiment carried to the end of the month.

The US Dollar continued its rise with higher treasury bond yields and both Oil and Gold fell.

Expect the volatility to continue on both the downside and the upside through the remainder of this year.  This is why we stay diversified. 

Please contact me if you have questions or simply just wish to talk about your plan.  I can meet you in my office or virtually over the computer and I am here to help!

Recent US Economic Data

US Manufacturing – ISM manufacturing was flat and beat expectations.
Jobs – The August payroll report came in above expectations adding another 315,000 jobs, unemployment unexpectedly rose to 3.7% and average hourly earnings rose 0.3% which was lower than expected.
Housing Prices – Both Shiller and FHFA home prices rose with Shiller rising less than expected.
Housing starts –Housing starts fell and missed estimates while building permits fell but beat expectations.
Existing home sales – Fell and missed estimates.
GDP – 2Q GDP second estimate came in a little better than expected contracting 0.6%
Retail Sales – Were flat and missed expectations.
Leading indicators – Fell and missed estimates (5th straight monthly drop)
Durable goods orders – Flat and missed expectations.
Inflation data took a turn lower – consumer prices were flat but still higher than expected, producer prices fell more than expected, both import and export prices fell more than expected while PCE prices also fell more than expected.

For weekly market updates please visit my blog at www.aamllc.com  

Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates were significantly higher over the last month.   The national average on mortgage as per Bloomberg.com shows the 15-year rate is now at 5.33% and the 30-year rate is at 6.08%. These rates are as of 9/10/2022 and may include points.   

Short-Term Cash and CD Rates
CD rates continued higher over the last month.  Charles Schwab has access to CD’s from banks all over the country.  Here are some of the current CD rates offered and I am going to start tracking I-bond rates and money market rates as well.

6 mo CD @ 3.28%           1-Yr CD @ 3.45%             I-Bonds @ 9.62% (Until October)

2-Yr CD @ 3.50%            5-Yr CD @ 3.65%             Schwab Money Market 2.26%

Tips and Suggestions

The next quarterly estimated tax payments are due 9/15/2022 for the 3rd quarter of 2022.  Go to www.IRS.gov to make your payment today (if needed).

With yields heading up and stocks down 10% this year it could be a good time to put some excess cash reserves to work.  I can manage these dollars for you or give you advice on what type of investments to use based on your goals.  Schedule a meeting soon to discuss.

Another good option for cash reserves are I-bonds if you hold the money for 12 months or more. Purchases are limited to $10,000 per year per person.  www.treasurydirect.gov  

It is time to start planning for 2023!  What would you like to accomplish next year?  How much to you want to save and home much do you need to save to reach your financial goals? 

Develop a 2022 cash flow plan to maximize your health savings account, 401k, 457, 403b or IRA contributions for 2022.

Is your estate plan up-to-date?  This is a good time to review your estate plan and update your beneficiary designations.

If you have a child attending college next fall get your FAFSA done beginning October 1.  The sooner you fill out your FAFSA the better chance you have for financial aid.

Considering which colleges are the best fit based on your financial circumstances and your child’s academic experience?  I have access to a program that can help!

Do you have children age 18 years or older?  You may want to plan for an emergency by obtaining HIPPA authorizations or power-of-attorney so that you can get health information, if needed.

ABLE accounts are now available in the State of Michigan.  ABLE accounts are for certain individuals with disabilities to accumulate funds for their long-term needs without disqualifying themselves for Medicaid.  Check it out at www.miable.org or give me a call.

When is the last time you reviewed your insurance plan?  Is your disability income keeping up with your income?  Do you have any term life insurance policies expiring soon?  Do you need additional coverage or less coverage?  Let’s discuss.

Are you on track to meet your financial goals?  Do you have a plan to get you where you want to be?  If you do not you may not reach your goals.  Let’s make a plan to Maximize your financial potential.

Do you need a debt payoff plan?  Let’s work on one together.

Need help with your 401k?  We can do a virtual meeting to allow me to help review your 401k online and help you rebalance.  We can access the plan together online, I can give you control to log in and then we can discuss and make changes together.  Let me know if you want to discuss!

If you have any questions or if you would like to have help with your financial plan please give me – your Fee-only Certified Financial Planning ™ Practitioner – a call.

Useful Links

Work on Your Financial Plan:  

https://www.moneyguidepro.com/redtail/Guests.aspx?gst=072A4BB9148EA94CD07038D0645B88C0FD4A0D16DFD101119F36E4C592D27390

View Your Schwab Accounts:  www.schwab.com

Check your risk tolerance:

https://advisors.stratifi.com/investor/320/qvydglrdeivuychrqumhpzgsvdipzh/target-rating/guest/

Articles

All articles are now found on my website blog: www.aamllc.com

Social Security Tips – June 2022
https://aamllc.com/social-security-tips-june-2022/

Cut back to School Costs – What do students really need?
www.aamllc.com/cut-back-to-school-costs-what-do-students-really-need/  

Failing to Plan could equal Planning to Fail
www.aamllc.com/failing-to-plan-could-equal-planning-to-fail/

Do You Spend to Impress?
https://aamllc.com/do-you-spend-to-impress/

AAM Second Quarter 2022 Analysis
https://aamllc.com/aam-second-quarter-2022-analysis/

The Evolution of the Modern Portfolio Manager
https://aamllc.com/the-evolution-of-the-modern-portfolio-manager/

As Secondary Cash Reserves – I Bonds Make Long-Term Sense
https://aamllc.com/as-secondary-cash-reserves-i-bonds-make-long-term-sense/

Wedding Bells Prompt Parents to Revisit Family Finance Lessons
https://aamllc.com/wedding-bells-prompt-parents-to-revisit-family-finance-lessons/

Contact MeDo you want more information on how I can help you?  Give me a call or drop me an email to review or set up a free initial consultation.

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