February 2022 AAM Newsletter
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1) You will not be pressured to purchase any products because I am a fee-only advisor and a NAPFA® Member (no commission sales)
2) You will have a comprehensive financial plan completed by a Certified Financial Planner ™ Practitioner or CFP® – I have committed to financial planning and continuing education.
3) You will have a reasonable fee for the services performed. I charge less than the typical large financial planning firm by being a small shop and keeping my business expenses low.
Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®
Please see below for financial articles and tips
Stocks stumbled in January to kick off 2022 as interest rate and inflation concerns sent the S&P 500 into correction territory down almost 12% from the 2021 high.
Index performance Jan 2022____ YTD 2021_
- The S&P index -5.26% +26.89%
- Dow Jones industrial 30 -3.32% +18.73%
- The NASDAQ Index -8.98% +21.39%
- The Russell 2000 Small cap -9.66% +13.69%
- EAFE International Index -3.63% +7.83%
- The US Dollar +1.06% +6.28%
- Oil +17.21% +55.01%
- Gold -1.75% -3.64%
- 10-Year Treasury Yield 1.77% 1.50% on 12/31/2021
- 30-Year Treasury Yield 2.08% 1.91% on 12/31/2021
Volatility was very high in January for the S&P 500 index. The index began at 4,766, rose to a high of 4,796 on 1/3 then fell to a low of 4,223 on 1/24 before ending the month at 4,515 for a difference of 573 points or about 11.9% from high to low.
Small cap and technology stocks led the markets lower when value and international lost a little less.
Oil surged and the US dollar was higher while gold fell.
Volatility came back in January as the calendar turned and traders exited stocks on concerns over rising interest rates to fight off the highest inflation in decades. We finally had a S&P correction (drop of 10% or more) which we usually have about every year but have not seen since early 2020 and the Covid bottom. I think this is healthy for the market and although we could go lower from here it does start to build a base for the next leg up. Stock valuations have come down some and I think overall the market can withstand a 10 year treasury reaching 2.5% to 3.0% in the next year or so. Look for volatility to remain for at least a few more months.
Please contact me if you have questions or simply just wish to talk about your plan. I can meet you in my office or virtually over the computer and I am here to help!
Recent US Economic Data
US Manufacturing – ISM manufacturing fell but beat expectations.
Jobs – The January payroll report came in well above expectations adding 467,000 jobs, unemployment rose to 4.0% and average hourly earnings were 0.7% higher.
Housing Prices – Both Shiller and FHFA home prices rose.
Housing starts – Both housing starts and building permits rose and beat estimates.
Existing home sales – Fell and missed estimates.
GDP – 4Q GDP first estimate was a better than expected 6.9%.
Retail Sales – Fell and missed estimates.
Leading indicators – Rose and matched expectations.
Durable goods orders – Fell a little more than expected.
Inflation data may have slowed a little – producer prices rose less than expected, consumer prices rose a little more than expected, import and export prices both fell, unit labor costs were slightly higher than expected while PCE prices rose and matched expectations.
For weekly market updates please visit my blog at www.aamllc.com
Mortgage rates were much higher over the last month. The national average on mortgage as per Bloomberg.com shows the 15-year rate is now at 3.15% and the 30-year rate is at 3.77%. These rates are as of 2/9/2022 and may include points.
CD rates were higher over the last month. Charles Schwab has access to CD’s from banks all over the country. Here are some of the current CD rates offered.
6 mo CD @ 0.35% 1-Yr CD @ 0.70%
2-Yr CD @ 1.25% 5-Yr CD @ 1.90%
Tips and Suggestions
The next quarterly estimated tax payments are due 04/18/2022 for the 1st quarter of 2022. Go to www.IRS.gov to make your payment today (if needed).
It is time to start planning for 2022! What would you like to accomplish next year? How much to you want to save and home much do you need to save to reach your financial goals?
Develop a 2022 cash flow plan to maximize your health savings account, 401k, 457, 403b or IRA contributions for 2021.
Is your estate plan up-to-date? This is a good time to review your estate plan and update your beneficiary designations.
If you have a child attending college next fall it is FAFSA time once again beginning 10/1. The sooner you fill out your FAFSA the better chance you have for financial aid.
Do you have children age 18 years or older? You may want to plan for an emergency by obtaining HIPPA authorizations or power-of-attorney so that you can get health information, if needed.
ABLE accounts are now available in the State of Michigan. ABLE accounts are for certain individuals with disabilities to accumulate funds for their long-term needs without disqualifying themselves for Medicaid. Check it out at www.miable.org or give me a call.
When is the last time you reviewed your insurance plan? Is your disability income keeping up with your income? Do you have any term life insurance policies expiring soon? Do you need additional coverage or less coverage? Let’s discuss.
Are you on track to meet your financial goals? Do you have a plan to get you where you want to be? If you do not you may not reach your goals. Let’s make a plan to Maximize your financial potential.
Do you need a debt payoff plan? Let’s work on one together.
Need help with your 401k? We can do a virtual meeting to allow me to help review your 401k online and help you rebalance. We can access the plan together online, I can give you control to log in and then we can discuss and make changes together. Let me know if you want to discuss!
Are your cash reserves earning less than 1%? Consider a diversified mix of income funds to give your secondary cash reserves a yield boost.
If you have any questions or if you would like to have help with your financial plan please give me – your Fee-only Certified Financial Planning ™ Practitioner – a call.
Work on Your Financial Plan:
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All articles are now found on my website blog: www.aamllc.com
The website has a new look! Check it out!
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Contact MeDo you want more information on how I can help you? Give me a call or drop me an email to review or set up a free initial consultation.