AAM Email Newsletter – November 2022

Hello and thank you for reading my e-newsletter.

Hello and thank you for reading my e-newsletter.

I hope you find the information useful.  If you enjoy the newsletter please forward to a friend.   Please also let me know what you like to see so that I may continue to provide relevant content.

If you are a client of mine, thank you for your continued business and please update me on any changes in your situation do that I can make the appropriate changes to your financial plan and investments.

If you are not a client please consider giving me a call or emailing me if you would like to begin a plan to get you to your financial goals.  I consider myself different from many of the advisors out there for the following reasons:
1) You will not be pressured to purchase any products because I am a fee-only advisor and a NAPFA® Member (no commission sales)
2) You will have a comprehensive financial plan completed by a Certified Financial Planner ™ Practitioner or CFP® – I have committed to financial planning and continuing education.
3) You will have a reasonable fee for the services performed.  I charge less than the typical large financial planning firm by being a small shop and keeping my business expenses low.

Ronald J. VanSurksum, CFP®

For more insight on these groups and myself please click on the following links
www.napfa.org
www.cfp.net
www.fpanet.org  
www.aamllc.com

Please see below for financial articles and tips

Markets

Stocks rallied in October as hopes of slowing inflation help stocks bounce off of their lowest levels of 2022.

Index performance                                      Oct 2022____    YTD 2022_

  • The S&P index                                +7.99%               -18.76%
  • Dow Jones industrial 30               +13.95%             -9.92%
  • The NASDAQ Index                        +3.90%               -29.77%
  • The Russell 2000 Small cap          +10.94%             -17.75%
  • EAFE International Index              +5.89%               -24.62%
  • The US Dollar                                 -0.51%                +16.76%            
  • Oil                                                    +8.86%               +15.05%
  • Gold                                                 -1.98%                -10.69%
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield                 4.09%                  1.50% on 12/31/2021
  • 30-Year Treasury Yield                 4.20%                  1.91% on 12/31/2021                     

Volatility remained very high in October for the S&P 500 index.  The index began at 3585, fell to a low of 3492 then rose to the high of 3902 before finishing at 3871 for a difference of 410 points or about 11.7% from low to high.

Stocks rebounded, then fell to new lows before rallying to month end on mixed economic data and Fed speak.  The announcement of the 0.75% fed hike sent stocks higher until Fed chair Powell spoke indicating we are a long way from taming inflation sending stocks significantly lower. 

The US Dollar slipped slightly lower while treasury bond yields moved higher, Oil gained and Gold fell.

As usual markets continued to over-react both to the upside and downside based on economic data points, corporate earnings and Fed speak making it very difficult to time the markets.  This is why we stay diversified. 

Please contact me if you have questions or simply just wish to talk about your plan.  I can meet you in my office or virtually over the computer and I am here to help!

Recent US Economic Data

US Manufacturing – ISM manufacturing fell but beat expectations.
Jobs – The October payroll report came in above expectations adding another 261,000 jobs, unemployment rose to 3.7% and average hourly earnings rose 0.4% which was higher than expected.
Housing Prices – FHFA home prices fell and matched while Shiller and home prices were high but rose less than expected.
Housing starts –Housing starts fell and missed estimates while building permits rose and beat expectations.
Existing home sales – Fell but beat estimates.
GDP – 3Q first estimate beat estimates gaining 2.6%
Retail Sales – Were flat and missed expectations.
Leading indicators – Fell more than expected (7th straight monthly drop)
Durable goods orders – Rose but missed estimates.
Inflation data was mixed – consumer prices rose more than expected, producer prices rose more than expected, both import and export prices fell while PCE prices rose and matched expectations.

For weekly market updates please visit my blog at www.aamllc.com  

Mortgage Rates
Mortgage rates continued higher over the last month.   The national average on mortgage as per Bloomberg.com shows the 15-year rate is now at 624% and the 30-year rate is at 6.91%. These rates are as of 11/11/2022 and may include points.   

Short-Term Cash and CD Rates
CD rates continued higher over the last month.  Charles Schwab has access to CD’s from banks all over the country.  Here are some of the current CD rates offered and I am going to start tracking I-bond rates and money market rates as well.

6 mo CD @ 4.45%           1-Yr CD @ 4.85%             I-Bonds @ 6.89% (Until the end of April, 2023)

2-Yr CD @ 4.85%            5-Yr CD @ 4.90%            Schwab Money Market 3.77%

Tips and Suggestions
The next quarterly estimated tax payments are due 1/15/2023 for the 4th quarter of 2022.  Go to www.IRS.gov to make your payment today (if needed).

With yields heading up and stocks down 15-20% this year it could be a good time to put some excess cash reserves to work.  I can manage these dollars for you or give you advice on what type of investments to use based on your goals.  Schedule a meeting soon to discuss.

Another good option for cash reserves are I-bonds if you hold the money for 12 months or more. Purchases are limited to $10,000 per year per person.  www.treasurydirect.gov  

Medicare open enrollment begins October 15 until December 7 annually.  This is the time to review and update your Medicare supplement or Advantage coverage.  Let me know if you need help getting this done.  I can introduce you to an expert.

It is time to start planning for 2023!  What would you like to accomplish next year?  How much to you want to save and home much do you need to save to reach your financial goals? 

Develop a 2022 cash flow plan to maximize your health savings account, 401k, 457, 403b or IRA contributions for 2022.

Is your estate plan up-to-date?  This is a good time to review your estate plan and update your beneficiary designations.

If you have a child attending college next fall get your FAFSA done beginning October 1.  The sooner you fill out your FAFSA the better chance you have for financial aid.

Considering which colleges are the best fit based on your financial circumstances and your child’s academic experience?  I have access to a program that can help!

Do you have children age 18 years or older?  You may want to plan for an emergency by obtaining HIPPA authorizations or power-of-attorney so that you can get health information, if needed.

ABLE accounts are now available in the State of Michigan.  ABLE accounts are for certain individuals with disabilities to accumulate funds for their long-term needs without disqualifying themselves for Medicaid.  Check it out at www.miable.org or give me a call.

When is the last time you reviewed your insurance plan?  Is your disability income keeping up with your income?  Do you have any term life insurance policies expiring soon?  Do you need additional coverage or less coverage?  Let’s discuss.

Are you on track to meet your financial goals?  Do you have a plan to get you where you want to be?  If you do not you may not reach your goals.  Let’s make a plan to Maximize your financial potential.

Do you need a debt payoff plan?  Let’s work on one together.

Need help with your 401k?  We can do a virtual meeting to allow me to help review your 401k online and help you rebalance.  We can access the plan together online, I can give you control to log in and then we can discuss and make changes together.  Let me know if you want to discuss!

If you have any questions or if you would like to have help with your financial plan please give me – your Fee-only Certified Financial Planning ™ Practitioner – a call.

Useful Links

Work on Your Financial Plan:  

https://www.moneyguidepro.com/redtail/Guests.aspx?gst=072A4BB9148EA94CD07038D0645B88C0FD4A0D16DFD101119F36E4C592D27390

View Your Schwab Accounts:  www.schwab.com

Check your risk tolerance:

https://advisors.stratifi.com/investor/320/qvydglrdeivuychrqumhpzgsvdipzh/target-rating/guest/

Articles

All articles are now found on my website blog: www.aamllc.com

Social Security Tips – September 2022
www.aamllc.com/social-security-tips-september-2022 

Count Your Blessings – Be Thankful for Safety Nets under US Citizens
www.aamllc.com/count-your-blessings-be-thankful-for-safety-nets-under-us-citizens/  

Enjoy Your Golden Years – Secure Your Financial Future Before Retiring
www.aamllc.com/enjoy-your-golden-years-secure-your-financial-future-before-retiring/

Mistakes People Make with Money
www.aamllc.com/mistakes-people-make-with-money

Investing: As Risky as Rolling the Dice?
www.aamllc.com/investing-as-risky-as-rolling-the-dice

Could a Health Savings Account Help You?
www.aamllc.com/could-a-health-savings-account-help-you

Cut back to School Costs – What do students really need?
www.aamllc.com/cut-back-to-school-costs-what-do-students-really-need/ 

Failing to Plan could equal Planning to Fail
www.aamllc.com/failing-to-plan-could-equal-planning-to-fail/

Contact MeDo you want more information on how I can help you?  Give me a call or drop me an email to review or set up a free initial consultation.

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